{
 "source_issue_id": "2026-10-07",
 "issue_date": "2026-10-07",
 "created_at": "2026-10-07T06:15:00+08:00",
 "data_asof": {
  "US": "2026-10-06",
  "USF": "2026-10-05",
  "CN": "2026-09-30",
  "HK": "2026-10-06",
  "JP": "2026-10-06",
  "KR": "2026-10-06",
  "TW": "2026-10-06"
 },
 "note": "阈值按前两期滚动命中率均≥90%的重设规则取0.8–0.9倍日均波动",
 "rows": [
  {
   "no": 1,
   "scope": "美股",
   "judgment": "标普500指数10月7日（周三）收于7,783—7,855点之间",
   "trigger": "10月6日涨0.58%报7818.93点创收盘新高；美联储9月会议纪要定于北京时间10月8日02:00公布，10年期美债10月6日收5.27%",
   "metric": "标普500收盘（腾讯证券日K）",
   "invalid": "收盘高于7,855点或低于7,783点",
   "deadline": "10月7日美股收盘（10月8日期回看）",
   "check": {
    "key": "us.spx.close",
    "op": "between",
    "value": [
     7783.0,
     7855.0
    ],
    "market": "US",
    "by": "2026-10-07"
   },
   "multiple": 0.85,
   "multiple_text": "0.85/0.85（日均波动 0.54%，近20日）",
   "vol": {
    "avg_pct": 0.54,
    "n": 20,
    "window": [
     "2026-09-09",
     "2026-10-06"
    ],
    "src": "腾讯证券 日K",
    "dist_pct": [
     0.4595,
     0.4613
    ],
    "range_est": 0.931
   }
  },
  {
   "no": 2,
   "scope": "A股",
   "judgment": "节后首个交易日（10月8日）深证成指收于12,781—12,994点之间",
   "trigger": "9月30日跌0.11%报12887.62点；假期内10月5日、6日恒指与恒生科技连续收涨",
   "metric": "深证成指收盘（腾讯证券日K）",
   "invalid": "收盘高于12,994点或低于12,781点",
   "deadline": "10月8日A股收盘（10月9日期回看）",
   "check": {
    "key": "cn.szse.close",
    "op": "between",
    "value": [
     12781.0,
     12994.0
    ],
    "market": "CN",
    "by": "2026-10-08"
   },
   "multiple": 0.85,
   "multiple_text": "0.85/0.85（日均波动 0.97%，近20日）",
   "vol": {
    "avg_pct": 0.97,
    "n": 20,
    "window": [
     "2026-09-02",
     "2026-09-30"
    ],
    "src": "腾讯证券 日K",
    "dist_pct": [
     0.8273,
     0.8254
    ],
    "range_est": 1.867
   }
  },
  {
   "no": 3,
   "scope": "港股",
   "judgment": "10月7日恒生科技指数涨跌幅跑赢恒生指数至少0.44个百分点",
   "trigger": "10月6日恒生科技涨0.94%略逊恒指1.00%，光通信、PCB与半导体股回吐",
   "metric": "恒生科技与恒指10月7日涨跌幅之差（腾讯证券日K）",
   "invalid": "两者涨跌幅之差小于0.44个百分点",
   "deadline": "10月7日港股收盘（10月8日期回看）",
   "check": {
    "key": "hk.hstech.close",
    "op": "outperform",
    "vs": "hk.hsi.close",
    "margin": 0.44,
    "market": "HK",
    "by": "2026-10-07"
   },
   "multiple": 0.86,
   "multiple_text": "0.86（日均波动 0.51%，近20日）",
   "vol": {
    "avg_pct": 0.51,
    "n": 20,
    "window": [
     "2026-09-08",
     "2026-10-06"
    ],
    "src": "腾讯证券 日K",
    "dist_pct": [
     0.44
    ],
    "range_est": null
   }
  },
  {
   "no": 4,
   "scope": "专题：江特电机",
   "judgment": "节后首个交易日（10月8日）江特电机收于8.48—8.74元之间",
   "trigger": "9月30日涨5.0%收8.61元，略低于MA20（8.636元）；同日碳酸锂主连收118420元/吨、为近20日最低收盘",
   "metric": "江特电机收盘（腾讯证券日K）",
   "invalid": "收盘高于8.74元或低于8.48元",
   "deadline": "10月8日A股收盘（10月9日期回看）",
   "check": {
    "key": "s002176.close",
    "op": "between",
    "value": [
     8.48,
     8.74
    ],
    "market": "CN",
    "by": "2026-10-08"
   },
   "multiple": 0.87,
   "multiple_text": "0.87/0.87（日均波动 1.73%，近20日）",
   "vol": {
    "avg_pct": 1.73,
    "n": 20,
    "window": [
     "2026-09-02",
     "2026-09-30"
    ],
    "src": "腾讯证券 日K",
    "dist_pct": [
     1.5099,
     1.5099
    ],
    "range_est": 2.888
   }
  },
  {
   "no": 5,
   "scope": "自选：韩国KOSPI",
   "judgment": "KOSPI指数10月7日（周三）收于6,860—7,023点之间",
   "trigger": "10月6日跌0.89%报6941.39点，三星电子与SK海力士收跌",
   "metric": "KOSPI收盘（新浪财经全球指数日K）",
   "invalid": "收盘高于7,023点或低于6,860点",
   "deadline": "10月7日韩股收盘（10月8日期回看）",
   "check": {
    "key": "kr.kospi.close",
    "op": "between",
    "value": [
     6860.0,
     7023.0
    ],
    "market": "KR",
    "by": "2026-10-07"
   },
   "multiple": 0.84,
   "multiple_text": "0.84/0.85（日均波动 1.39%，近20日）",
   "vol": {
    "avg_pct": 1.39,
    "n": 20,
    "window": [
     "2026-09-04",
     "2026-10-06"
    ],
    "src": "新浪财经 全球指数日K",
    "dist_pct": [
     1.1725,
     1.1757
    ],
    "range_est": 1.836
   }
  }
 ]
}